Monday, April 9, 2012

Will the Dow Beat Britain's Blue Chips? - Motley Fool

American investors are notorious for staying close to home with their money. The most you can expect the majority of U.S. investors to do is to pick American stocks that have worldwide exposure. That's one reason the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEX: ^DJI  ) is so popular: With so many of its component companies expanding internationally to try to take advantage of faster-growing markets overseas, you can essentially get global exposure even with a pure U.S. stock portfolio.

But if you rely solely on U.S. stocks, you'll miss out on a world of other opportunities. So this article is the first of a series looking at popular indexes in other countries to try to find promising stocks you might otherwise miss. Today, let's look at Great Britain and its FTSE 100 (INDEX: ^FTSE  ) index.

Getting to know the FTSE
Although the FTSE has more stocks than the Dow, the way the FTSE is weighted means that a similarly small number of its components have an inordinate amount of influence. Just the top 10 stocks in the index by market cap account for nearly half of the index's value. Still, because the FTSE uses market-cap weighting, it doesn't have some of the complications that the Dow's price-weighted calculations create.

Like the Dow, the FTSE is fairly well balanced across sectors. In fact, one way in which the FTSE outdoes the Dow is by including utility stocks in the index, rather than exiling them to a separately tracked metric. Still, the two largest sectors in the FTSE are oil and gas stocks and financials, with consumer goods coming in a close third.

What's working in Britain?
Looking at the top 10 stocks in the FTSE, you'll find clear winners and losers. On the gaining side are the more defensive names GlaxoSmithKline and British American Tobacco, both of which are up 20% or more over the past year. Glaxo is dealing with the same challenges that U.S. pharmaceutical companies are facing, as it tries to keep a healthy pipeline of new drugs in development to replace existing blockbusters that are approach their patent expiration dates. Meanwhile, British American has many of the same benefits as Philip Morris International, as it taps markets outside the U.S. that have favorably tolerant regulatory environments.

On the downside, however, are the big mining companies Rio Tinto (NYSE: RIO  ) and BHP Billiton. Both of those companies have seen huge growth in past years, but more recently, concerns about a slowing global economy and specifically weaker activity in China have led to a substantial correction in the shares.

Meanwhile, stuck in the middle are a variety of companies. Notorious oil giant BP (NYSE: BP  ) makes up almost 6% of the FTSE despite the big hit it took following the Gulf of Mexico oil spill. Shares have held their ground in the past year, but the overhang of tens of billions of dollars in paid and potential damages has put a lid on the company's growth. In telecom, Vodafone (Nasdaq: VOD  ) has benefited greatly from its stake in the Verizon Wireless joint venture and also has a big presence in emerging markets around the world. But trouble closer to home has shareholders nervous about its European business and the impact that continued economic uncertainty could have on Vodafone's overall finances.

Can the FTSE beat the Dow?
Over the past five years, the Dow has performed better than the FTSE on a price basis. But the FTSE has a higher overall dividend yield, with one FTSE-tracking ETF yield well over 3%, compared with around 2% for the Dow. So on a total return basis, the disparity isn't as great as it may appear at first glance.

It's clear that British markets trade more in line with exchanges on the Continent than the U.S. stock market does, so what could lead to future FTSE outperformance would be a better-than-expected recovery in Europe. With expectations extremely low, betting on the FTSE to rebound could be an idea worth looking at more seriously, especially if conditions in Europe's weaker economies begin to stabilize.

Adding international stocks to your portfolio is just one way to build a smart long-term investing plan. Get more tips by looking at The Motley Fool's special report on retirement, which also includes the names of three promising stock picks for long-term investors. Get your free report today before it's gone forever.

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